A win is a win, especially in Chicago.
Showing posts with label Chicago Bears. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chicago Bears. Show all posts
Saturday, September 7, 2019
[2019 Season Theme]: Week 1 PACKERS
Just dropped in to share this regarding Thursday night:
A win is a win, especially in Chicago.
A win is a win, especially in Chicago.
Saturday, September 8, 2018
READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL: Week 1 and Season Update
Well, I guess I should have known it was too good to be true - that I didn't have the manually update information for certain weeks in order to get an accurate result for my calculation, but at least Chicago doesn't win the Super Bowl anymore.
UPDATE 9/9/2018
Every year is a relearning experience with my spreadsheet to try to remember all of the little tricks I've hidden within the cells. After a massive simplification effort that removed a number of experimental calculations and then data entry for the early games of Week 1, I discovered that the Master sheet used an area where the schedule was hand-coded to create the main calculation. (sigh) So I automated it to update it for this year and had to re-update those certain weeks mentioned above. This gave me a new-but-also-old Super Bowl prediction.
The alternate is included because there is a disagreement between the two columns that I thought used the same calculation. One variation is in an AFC divisional playoff and puts either New England or Jacksonville into the Conference Championship. Regardless, however, Pittsburgh goes to the Super Bowl. The other is in the NFC Championship. If we do get the Battle of Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh would win.
Instead, my boy Cam Newton and his Panthers get their dream.
Sorry, Cam, you know you're still my angel. Also, I like what you're doing with your hair.
UPDATE 9/9/2018
Every year is a relearning experience with my spreadsheet to try to remember all of the little tricks I've hidden within the cells. After a massive simplification effort that removed a number of experimental calculations and then data entry for the early games of Week 1, I discovered that the Master sheet used an area where the schedule was hand-coded to create the main calculation. (sigh) So I automated it to update it for this year and had to re-update those certain weeks mentioned above. This gave me a new-but-also-old Super Bowl prediction.
Sorry, Cam, you know you're still my angel. Also, I like what you're doing with your hair.
Thursday, September 6, 2018
READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL: Week 1 Watch out for Chicago oh gawd no
There was a moment when I didn't have all the stats in when we had Bizzaro World Super Bowl and Chicago defeated the Jets.
...
Just, no. Sorry about hurting your brain there.
So I put in more stats and Super Bowl 53 was Minnesota defeating Pittsburgh, which is a lot more believable. But still, I saw some good things for Chicago. I had one more stat: The Week 1 NFL Power Rankings. Then Chicago signed Mack and moved up 8 spots to number 15. That gave them the edge to defeat Minnesota twice and earn the Division Championship. And even at the 3rd seed, they move through the brackets until...
Just remember...
...
Just, no. Sorry about hurting your brain there.
So I put in more stats and Super Bowl 53 was Minnesota defeating Pittsburgh, which is a lot more believable. But still, I saw some good things for Chicago. I had one more stat: The Week 1 NFL Power Rankings. Then Chicago signed Mack and moved up 8 spots to number 15. That gave them the edge to defeat Minnesota twice and earn the Division Championship. And even at the 3rd seed, they move through the brackets until...
 |
| Better dust off that ol' Super Bowl Shuffle |
THE BEARS STILL SUCK!
(Go Pack Go)
Sunday, December 18, 2016
The Running Game: Week Fifteen Packers in the Super Bowl?!?
| And just like that, with Minestone and Detroit losing, my calculation not only has the Packers winning the NFC North, but sweeping through the playoffs to the Super Bowl, only to lose to New England. Honestly, after their performance mid-season, not to mention letting today's game against the freaking Bears get down to the wire, I don't know how to feel about this. |
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| Except for the "Complete opposite" bracket, all of these let the calculation pick the Super Bowl winner. |
PACKERS WIN THE SUPER BOWL!!!
Huzzah! Come on, A-a-ron and McCartney! WE CAN DO THIS!
Sunday, October 16, 2016
The Running Game: Week Six Disappointments and Curses
| Coming off a week where the AFC and NFC Champions were defeated by Divisional rivals that are rarely, if ever, contenders, I can't finish this sentence in a satisfactory way. Favre returned to Lambeau again, and the Packers lost in Lambeau again, but that Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot are no Chicago Bears. They were wearing those godawful throw-back uniforms ::vomit::. Maybe Favre's curse had an effect on Prescott. No, really, Favre, you're great, we love you, but please, stay home. |  |
I'm sitting here, watching Osweiler break my heart, and break everyone's heart in Houston. Well, not right now because the Texans' defense is on the field. I liked the table I shared last week, so I made the same one for this season.
| Calc | Benchmarks | Thoughts and Gut pick | Winner | |
| DEN at SD | DEN | DEN | San Diego isn't necessarily as bad as their record says, but still, DEN | SD |
| SF at BUF | BUF | BUF | Kaepernick is back, but who knows how good he is. BUF | BUF |
| PHI at WAS | WAS | PHI | Calculation says WAS, but the Benchmarks and my gut say PHI | WAS |
| CLE at TEN | TEN | TEN | This may be the best shot for a Browns win, but Murray & Mariota TEN | TEN |
| BAL at NYG | NYG | Split | I haven't yet given up on them BAL | NYG |
| CAR at NO | CAR | CAR | Things are not going well this year for my boy, NO | NO |
| JAX at CHI | JAX | Split | This is a tough one, but in the end, I'm sticking with JAX | JAX |
| LA at DET | LA | Split | Another one I can't explain, just a feeling about DET | DET |
| PIT at MIA | PIT | PIT | I honestly don't see Miami winning this game, barring the worst for PIT | MIA |
| CIN at NE | NE | NE | I really, really want the Bengals to win, but NE | NE |
| KC at OAK | OAK | OAK | I see some upset potential here KC | KC |
| ATL at SEA | SEA | SEA | We all know about Seattle, but I got a feeling ATL | SEA |
| DAL at GB | GB | GB | PACKERS!!!! But oh man, that Prescott, Idk, eff it, GO PACK GO!!!! | DAL |
| IND at HOU | HOU | HOU | This is another tough one, and it may be wishful thinking, HOU | ... |
| NYJ at ARI | ARI | ARI | Grizzly Adams has been slipping, and Stanton & Fitzgerald ARI | ... |
The fonts look messed up, and I can't stand to hear the banter about overpaying Osweiler right now. 2:28 to go, and Luck goes down. Hope springs eternal.
Saturday, January 2, 2016
Going for Two: Week Seventeen Preview and Picks
There is no Thursday Night, Saturday Night, or Monday Night Football this week and it's messing with me. Everything for Week Seventeen is crammed into Sunday, with ten games starting at noon, five at 3:25, and a single prime time game featuring the Vikings and my Packers to decide the winner of the NFC North. It's in Lambeau, but that doesn't mean what it used to - not with Detroit and Chicago having won there this year. But it's been a good week, and it's a new year, so hope springs eternal.
Here are my picks for Week 17:
The percentages next to the calculated and benchmark winners represent the average accuracy for that metric and are an attempt to identify the possibility that this will be right. For example, the Benchmark Winners combines two metrics and together, they are 61% accurate. If they both pick that team, the percent is 61%. If only one metric picks that team, then the percent is lower to reflect that. The Calculated Winners combine 6 different metrics with an overall average accuracy of 63% and range from 59% to 67% accurate.
My Gut picks, which have a 63% accuracy rating this year, are sometimes adjusted based on disagreement between the calculations and/or benchmark, as well as things I know. In this case, I'm going with the calculation with the 67% accuracy rating except for the Detroit at Chicago game - Detroit is just a better team than Chicago. I almost switched up the Philly at NY Giants game, but am sticking with the Giants because they will have Odell Beckham back. There is something to be said for the firing of Chip Kelly, but that could really go either way.
Here are my picks for Week 17:
| Games | Calculated Winner | Benchmark Winner | Gut Picks | |||
N
O O N G A M E S | NO | at | ATL | ATL (63%) | ATL (61%) | ATL |
| NYJ | at | BUF | NYJ (53%) | NYJ (61%) | NYJ | |
| DET | at | CHI | CHI (43%) | DET (61%) | DET | |
| BAL | at | CIN | CIN (63%) | CIN (61%) | CIN | |
| PIT | at | CLE | PIT (63%) | PIT (61%) | PIT | |
| WAS | at | DAL | WAS (53%) | DAL (31%) | WAS | |
| JAX | at | HOU | HOU (63%) | HOU (61%) | HOU | |
| TEN | at | IND | IND (63%) | IND (61%) | IND | |
| NE | at | MIA | NE (63%) | NE (61%) | NE | |
| PHI | at | NYG | NYG (32%) | NYG (61%) | NYG | |
L
A T E | SEA | at | ARI | ARI (63%) | ARI (61%) | ARI |
| TB | at | CAR | CAR (63%) | CAR (61%) | CAR | |
| SD | at | DEN | DEN (63%) | DEN (61%) | DEN | |
| OAK | at | KC | KC (63%) | KC (61%) | KC | |
| STL | at | SF | STL (53%) | STL (61%) | STL | |
| PT | MIN | at | GB | GB (63%) | GB (61%) | GB |
The percentages next to the calculated and benchmark winners represent the average accuracy for that metric and are an attempt to identify the possibility that this will be right. For example, the Benchmark Winners combines two metrics and together, they are 61% accurate. If they both pick that team, the percent is 61%. If only one metric picks that team, then the percent is lower to reflect that. The Calculated Winners combine 6 different metrics with an overall average accuracy of 63% and range from 59% to 67% accurate.
My Gut picks, which have a 63% accuracy rating this year, are sometimes adjusted based on disagreement between the calculations and/or benchmark, as well as things I know. In this case, I'm going with the calculation with the 67% accuracy rating except for the Detroit at Chicago game - Detroit is just a better team than Chicago. I almost switched up the Philly at NY Giants game, but am sticking with the Giants because they will have Odell Beckham back. There is something to be said for the firing of Chip Kelly, but that could really go either way.
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