Thursday, September 29, 2016

The Running Game: Week Four Picks

It dawns on me that I should have posted this yesterday, but whatever, sorry. You should rest assured that the first pick was the same before the game started. I wonder if there was anyone outside the Miami Dolphins organization that really thought that they could defeat Dalton and the Bengals. Maybe even some of them thought that way. I wonder if the stigma that follows some teams around, like the Titans, all the Florida teams, and the Browns, doesn't become a self-fulfilling prophesy, dooming even the most cohesive, talented groups of guys to losing seasons.

63%71%65%56%58%71%65%.58%63%
CalculationsHome & Away AdvantageBenchmarks
OfficialUpset Probable2 Years3 YearsGut20152014-152013-15Football LocksNFLPower Rankings
CINNoCINCINCINCINCINCINCINCIN
INDNoINDINDINDINDINDINDINDIND
HOUNoHOUHOUHOUHOUHOUHOUHOUHOU
WASNoWASWASWASWASWASWASWASWAS
SEANoSEASEANYJSEASEASEASEASEA
NEYesNENENENENENENENE
CARNoCARCARCARCARCARCARCARCAR
OAKNoBALBALBALOAKBALBALBALBAL
DETNoDETCHIDETDETDETDETDETDET
DENYesDENDENDENDENDENDENDENDEN
ARINoARIARIARIARIARIARIARIARI
SDNoNONONOSDSDSDSDSD
DALNoDALDALDALDALDALDALDALDAL
PITNoKCKCKCPITPITPITPITPIT
MINNoMINMINMINMINMINMINMINMIN

Given the close alignment between all of the published picks, it's your responsibility to remember who the opponent is for most of the games. From my experience, that is easier said than done.

No comments:

Post a Comment