The Running Game: Week Three Predictions Post

Assuming that my benchmark does not change the favorite for any games in the next few days, here are the Week 3 picks, along with the percentage accurate for Weeks 1 and 2.

59%		59%	59%	59%	69%	66%	.	59%	66%
Official Calculation	Upset Probable	Gut	Modified Calculation	Historical 2015	Historical 2014-15	Historical 2013-15		Benchmark	NFLPower Rankings
NE	No	HOU	NE	NE	NE	NE		NE	NE
ARI	No	ARI	ARI	ARI	ARI	ARI		ARI	ARI
OAK	No	OAK	OAK	OAK	OAK	OAK		TEN	OAK
NYG	No	NYG	NYG	NYG	NYG	NYG		NYG	NYG
MIA	No	MIA	MIA	MIA	MIA	MIA		MIA	MIA
BAL	Yes	JAX	BAL	JAX	BAL	BAL		BAL	BAL
GB	No	GB	GB	GB	GB	GB		GB	GB
DEN	No	DEN	DEN	DEN	DEN	CIN		CIN	DEN
CAR	No	CAR	CAR	CAR	CAR	CAR		CAR	CAR
TB	Yes	LA	TB	TB	LA	TB		TB	TB
SEA	No	SEA	SEA	SEA	SEA	SEA		SEA	SEA
KC	No	NYJ	KC	KC	KC	KC		KC	NYJ
IND	No	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND		IND	SD
PIT	No	PIT	PIT	PIT	PIT	PIT		PIT	PIT
DAL	No	DAL	DAL	CHI	DAL	DAL		DAL	DAL
ATL	Yes	NO	ATL	ATL	ATL	ATL		NO	ATL

I swear that the Modified Calculation does start to make different picks eventually. I should also note that when added to last year's spreadsheet, the historical calculations successfully predicted 176 (for one and two previous years) and 178 (for three previous years) of the 256 games, compared to the 175 successful predictions for my calculation, 159 for the Benchmark, and 154 for the NFL Power Rankings.