Monday, December 21, 2015

Going for Two: Week Fifteen Wrap Up

Again, the worst my Mid-Season calculation can do is the best any metric has done this year. At best, it will tie the Wins & Home calculation for Week 14 in 2013 and my Gut* prediction for 2013.. For a little while, it looked like I was headed there, but the Lions are up by 15 points half-way through the 4th quarter, so Mid-Season is at 88%. Here are the times when any metrics reached that mark or higher in the past 4 years.


2012
Week 2: Home Field Advantage 88%
Week 11: Football Locks 93%
Week 17: Wins & Home 88%

2013
Week 8: Wins 92%
Week 8: Wins & Home 92%
Week 14: Football Locks 88%
Week 14: Early Calculation 88%
Week 14: Home Field Advantage 88%
Week 14: Wins 88%
Week 14: Wins & Home 94%
Week 15: Gut 94%*
2014
(none)
2015
(none)

*These picks were made during 2014, with the knowledge of the season outcome for many teams, but without knowing the actual outcomes of any regular-season games. 

The Saints could have actually won this game, with 6 seconds left, but somehow, the receivers cannot catch a ball to save their lives. And with that, Week 15 comes to a close

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