Sunday, December 20, 2015

Going for Two: Week Fifteen Clairvoyance

Tonight, Arizona will win the game. They're up by 23 points with 2:33 left to go, and just got an interception, so anyone could see that now. Not to mention that predicting this win wasn't a very risky call, but that's not what makes this a stellar week. What makes this week stand out is that, at this point, the worst my reviewed, perfected Mid-Season calculation can do is still better than any of the metrics I track have done all year. The only game predicted incorrectly was Buffalo. It did have St. Louis, Atlanta, Houston, and San Diego.

Tomorrow, it has New Orleans.

I've also calculated the difficulty of each team's season, and ranked from most difficult to easiest, Packers winning the Super Bowl isn't that hard to see. Carolina's victory, on the other hand, seems a lot less likely.

1GB5SF9OAK13ATL17DET21BAL25WAS29TB
2NYG6DEN10MIN14BUF18CHI22NO26CIN30JAX
3CLE7SD11PIT15PHI19ARI23TEN27NYJ31CAR
4STL8SEA12DAL16NE20KC24IND28HOU32MIA

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