The Running Game: Week Seven Introducing The Power Calculation

This week, I combined the Home and Away Advantage, Historical, and the Official calculations together to make, what I am dubbing, "The Power Calculation". It's one game behind the better Historical calculation, which is to be expected at this point. Due to an error entering a formula to count the wins, I was briefly thinking that I had made a calculation with a 70% accuracy last year, and 74% so far this year, but correcting that brought me down to earth.

It still did predict San Francisco's defeat of Minnesota in last year's Week One second Monday Night game, which seemed to surprise everyone else. But the 81% it got in Week One was more or less negated by a 38% showing in Week Two. This year, the showing is a bit better, with a total 69% accuracy for all 104 games already completed.

My Gut picks are doing very well this week too, so without further ado:

	Calc	Benchmarks	Thoughts and Gut pick	Winner
CHI at GB	GB	GB	PACKERS!!!!	GB
NYG at LA	NYG	Split	The Rams could win, but their jet lag will be worse... NYG	NYG
NO at KC	KC	KC	My boyfriend will get this one done, KC	KC
IND at TEN	TEN	TEN	My other calculations say Colts, so I'm going for IND	IND
MIN at PHI	MIN	MIN	Philly could win this, but I gotta go with MIN	PHI
CLE at CIN	CIN	CIN	I had an inkling of a doubt at first, but it was an easy pick for CIN	CIN
WAS at DET	WAS	WAS	The Benchmarks were split before, but the new calcs all say DET	DET
OAK at JAX	OAK	Split	All the calculations pointed right at OAK	OAK
BUF at MIA	BUF	BUF	Miami? Seriously? No, BUF	MIA
BAL at NYJ	BAL	Split	The upset potential here is good, NYJ	NYJ
TB at SF	TB	Split	I think the 49ers can win this one, at home, SF	...
SD at ATL	ATL	ATL	Gotta go with Matty Ice and our boy, Julio on this one, ATL	...
NE at PIT	NE	NE	If they had Big Ben, I would have hedged my pick, but I gotta go with NE	...
SEA at ARI	SEA	Split	I'm splitting my pick here, ARI	...
HOU at DEN	DEN	DEN	Sorry, baby, but I can't see it working for you... DEN	...

PS: The Power Calculation matches my Gut Picks this week, except for NE at PIT, which gave me pause until I remembered that Big factor.