Sunday, January 8, 2017

The Running Game: Wild Card Not-So-Wild

The time of no football is fast approaching, but I have been hard at work, rearranging my worksheets, adding new numbers in order to work on my Home & Away Advantage calculations, and making playoff predictions.

All of my calculations predicted Seattle and Pittsburgh, most had Green Bay, and it was a toss-up between Oakland and Houston. Are there 10 calculations? Sure.
HOUSEAPITGB
1. Official0111
2. Current Home Advantage1111
3. Ranks (Experimental)1111
4. Weighted Wins0110
5. Points0111
6. Wins0110
7. Home & Away Advantage0110
8. Historical0.5111
9. Power1111
10.Power Plus (Experimental)1111
Total:4.510107

So, that all adds up to 31.5/40 = 79% total accuracy. Given that the calculations have no idea that Carr has a broken leg, which hampered Oakland, it looks pretty good.

However, the Super Bowl contenders have hardly changed. It's currently Atlanta or Dallas vs. New England or Pittsburgh. 

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