Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Going for Two: Week Three Projections

Half of all of the teams had no change this week and ten teams ended up with one more or one less projected win. Six teams had more significant changes, distributed across a gain or loss of 2, 3, or 4 wins. The records for those teams are highlighted, with teams that lost wins in yellow, and those that gained in green.

Dallas's loss cost them four games in this projection, and if Houston had not won they would be down four wins, Tampa Bay up seven, and Dallas down six. Chicago would have gained two wins from the Texans loss, and Washington and the Giants would have lost two wins. But none of that happened, because the Texans defeated Tampa Bay, as predicted.

The changes this week weren't nearly as drastic as last week. There were no 14 game drops, like Miami saw, or 9 game gains, like the Jets had. I suppose it is related to how well my calculation predicted wins this week too. Last week, it was right 11 times, and this week, 13. 
TeamWeek 3
NE16 & 0
NYJ13 & 3
BUF10 & 6
MIA3 & 13
PIT15 & 1
CIN11 & 5
BAL8 & 8
CLE2 & 14
IND10 & 6
TEN6 & 10
HOU5 & 11
JAX2 & 14
DEN13 & 3
SD9 & 7
KC5 & 11
OAK4 & 12
TeamWeek 3
PHI12 & 4
DAL6 & 10
NYG6 & 10
WAS4 & 12
GB16 & 0
MIN10 & 6
DET4 & 12
CHI2 & 14
ATL16 & 0
CAR10 & 6
TB4 & 12
NO0 & 16
ARI14 & 2
STL7 & 9
SEA7 & 9
SF1 & 15

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