Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Back to Football: Regular Season Results

My regular season average 'Gut' accuracy is 64%, below the accuracy of the FootballLocks.com picks ('Favorites'), but better than just picking the team with more wins ('Ranks'), and certainly better than picking the teams that I like, or 'Ideal' picks. Had I bet money, based on my calculation, I would have made a 12% ROI.

Next year, the plan is to go with the 'Favorites' for week 2, and it could be a good idea to use 'Ranks' for Week 1. Without that Week 2 dip, my season average is 65%. Speaking with other football fans also gives me ways to evaluate teams that still allow me to pay minimal attention to the actual games.

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