There once was a time in my life when I was bored, when I had nothing to do, but that time is not now. I've managed to fill my days now with anything and everything, not the least of which being keeping up with my picks which have been good. Up until Week 7, things weren't looking great - I was keeping pace with the main benchmark but just barely. That's when I reevaluated my algorithm and brought it back to the original intent. This adjustment took my season accuracy from about 64% to 70% and my accuracy for Week 7 to 100%. It's gone down since then but always comfortably above the benchmark.
The dark lines track the actual accuracy rate each week and the pale lines represent the trend lines, showing that my calculation, while more erratic than the benchmark, is trending better. Week 12 results assume the following:
- Miami wins, against the prediction of both me and the benchmark (they're tied right now)
- Denver wins, again upsetting both predictions (Denver is ahead right now)
- Minnesota wins, as predicted
- Houston wins, as predicted by the benchmark by upsetting my prediction (it's a long story)
